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Country Ratings - A Neglected Research Area?
September 2004

The nation-state or country was at the center of trade theories advanced by Adam Smith, Ricardo, Heckscher and Ohlin.  Company research was virtually unheard of during that time.  Company research gained importance during the early twentieth century, especially after World War II, as “business education” entered the mainstream in the university curricula.  Global economic development and the growth of multinationals further contributed to that.

Apparently, disciplines like international trade, political science, international relations, sociology, and international finance take more interest in country research than international marketing.  Some of them have an organized research agenda that defines and measures an “abstract construct” with a “composite score.”  For example, International Finance regularly evaluates “risk ratings” of the countries on a global basis.  Private organizations like the Economist Intelligence Unit, Institutional Investor, or Moody’s offer professional services in this regard.  Similarly Freedom House and Fraser Institute evaluate political freedom.

Most country rating studies use secondary data, weigh them in a certain manner and offer a quantitative measure.  Some of them use primary survey to substantiate the data collected through secondary sources.  Sample survey, focus group and Delphi techniques are common in this regard.  Table 1 provides a list of some of the country ratings currently available.  Governments, international organizations, multinationals use them for environmental scanning, segmentation, entry strategy, market development, operation/investment risk, and policy formulations. 

Despite the popularity of country ratings one may observe a paucity of comparative research of the country ratings.  Research could be conducted to test the reliability/validity of the ratings, identify their overlapping, investigate their relationship, and determine their usefulness.  The table given below is indicative of what we could do in the area of country ratings.  More research questions can be thought of as there are quite a few indices involving a large number of countries.
  
Agenda/Focus Example of Research Questions
Reliability and validity To what extent a global competitive rating of the World Economic Forum truly measures the competitiveness of a country?  Similar questions can be asked for other ratings/measures. 
Methodological overlapping Many of the variables are repeatedly used in measuring globalization, country risk, competitiveness or economic freedom.  How does that affect the reliability or usefulness of the measures?
Comparison of related concepts What is the relationship between globalization and country competitiveness?  Or, how does the FDI inflow of country correlates with the FDI Confidence Index? 
Cause and effect  Does competitiveness or globalization contribute to the human development of a country?  Or, to what extent economic freedom contributes to competitiveness?
Historical trend analysis  Do the ratings offer consistent relationship on a longitudinal basis (a historical analysis)?  Do newer measures offer better results (an effect of proliferations of knowledge)? 
Managerial usefulness What is the usefulness of the ratings in business decisions?  Which decision areas relate to which measures?  What is the awareness level of country ratings among international managers? 

An investigation of 12 country ratings (the number could be more) involving about 50-100+ countries per rating can be a gigantic task.  The complexity increases with the number of countries, conceptual differences, and methodologies.  It will require substantial interest, effort, and above all monetary support for conducting such research.  I will urge the Global Marketing SIG to come up with positive strategies to investigate the phenomenon.  This may involve the formation of research teams with members with diverse backgrounds.  CIBERs may provide the initial funding.  And, if there is a collaborative effort from the Global Marketing SIG I am willing to participate in that process.
 

Table 1
Country Rating: Organization and Focus

Organization Rating/Index Description
World Economic Forum Global Competitiveness Rating

Micro Competitiveness Rating 

Rates both country (macro) and company (micro) competitiveness of the countries of the world annually and ranks them.
A.T. Kearney/Foreign Policy Globalization Index Evaluates and ranks the level of globalization of the countries of the world.
A.T. Kearney/Foreign Policy  FDI Confidence Index Rates the investors’ level of confidence in a country.
International Country Risk Guide International Country Risk Rating As a private organization evaluates the country risk regularly.  Other organizations that offer similar services include Economist Intelligence Unit, Institutional Investors, Moody’s etc.
Freedom House Rating of political freedom and civil liberties Evaluates the level of freedom in a country based on political freedom and civil liberties.  Rates countries as “free” or “partially free”.
Heritage Foundation Index of Economic Freedom Evaluates the countries on the basis of economic freedom. Emphasizes on openness/liberalization of the country.
Fraser Institute Economic Freedom Index Very similar to Heritage Foundation’s rating.  Rates the economic freedom of the countries.
United Nations Development Program Human Development Index (HDI) HDI is a composite of per capita income, education and life expectancy at birth. Annually, scores the level of human development in different countries.
United Nations Development Program Technology Achievement Index Evaluates the level of technology in the country.
CIBER Michigan State University Market Potential Indicators Indicates the market potential indicators of the 26 emerging markets of the world.
World Bank GINI Index Indicates the level of inequality in a country with the help of a mathematical formula of Gini.
 
A. N. M. Waheeduzzaman, 
Texas A&M University-Corpus Christi
.