The European Union grew by 10 members to 25
nations in 2004. For 480 million Europeans, borders should have opened
for free movement of people, ideas, and commerce. But politics and politicians
have sharply constrained the impact of that expansion. Many in the old
Europe fear disaster from the new ease of passage for people. Workers from
low-income nations within the expanded European Union could come to steal
the few menial jobs now still held precariously by locals. Immigrants may
take advantage of generous health care, unemployment or welfare systems.
And they’ll never go home once they discover the burial benefits.
The new EU members disagree. They point to
a long history in which they have been occupied, exploited, and oppressed.
Yet, they have never left their country voluntarily. Quite telling is the
comment of a Hungarian who points out that “we live in brick houses” to
explain that families have stayed in place for centuries. Perhaps a few
excursions abroad, but never a move!
Right now, fear has the political upper hand.
The old European nations have implemented special escape clauses to safeguard
their systems. An abundance of new regulations are aimed against the new
Europeans. For up to seven years, they will need special work permits,
are restricted in their unemployment and health care benefits, and constrained
in their retirement programs. The current European expansion is remindful
of the prayer of Saint Augustin: “Lord make me chaste – but not yet!”
There are several aspects to this arrangement
which are worthy of research: Delay often introduces uncertainty, discontent
and suffering. Those seeking the benefits are disappointed. Their hopes
of rapid improvement and dreams of equality are shattered. After a century
of misery due to accidents of history and geography, here is another painful
setback. What is the price of delay ?
Those seeking to postpone the effects of expansion
may only weaken their station. Won’t jobs continue to move to locations
where they are performed better and at a lower price? There is likely to
be less inflow of new enthusiasm and elasticity. Rather than welcoming
a shift to a new productive era, there may well be a stultifying wait for
the “inevitable”, discouraging the old but not encouraging the new. How
large is such an opportunity cost?
Europe is different from the United States,
but some post World War II U.S. experience can offer insights: Each year,
on average, every seventh American moves. Most moves are within the same
county, or within the same state. But year after year, U.S. movers to a
different state almost reach 3 percent of the population. That is the equivalent
of the entire U.S. population transiting to a new home state in little
more than one generation.
Not everybody moves equally. The wealthy and
well entrenched have very low migration patterns. Those with low
household incomes are the most avid movers, seeking new opportunities.
Young adults move frequently to broaden their views.
All this mobility has maintained a sense of
adventure in America. It has retained a spirit of flexibility and exploration.
If there are no new jobs in Illinois but lots of new opportunities in Arizona,
then that’s where people go. There has been the creation of entirely new
regional industry and service clusters, the absorption of many immigrants
into the economy and relatively low long term unemployment. There remains
strong local pride of place yet there is little xenophobic fear from out
of state migrants. Vermonters don’t fear Virginians!
What does all this mean for the new Europe?
The opportunities to pick up and move are there. Even large increases in
mobility would only represent a small population flow (which is now less
than one half of one percent). Europe seems to be in need of new approaches
and perspectives. People deserve to explore new options. New moves may
well become an action signal for the European economy and way of thinking.
This may be a key opportunity to enrich the quality of life of regions
and individuals. Are the same groups of people amenable to moving in Europe
as they are in the United States? Can the benefits of moving be predicted
and measured ?
Moves will change cultures. After all, culture
is the result of learned behavior and adjustment to new conditions. Opening
up to others should bring the reward of growing flexibility, better understanding,
and rising tolerance levels. Mobility has brought the power of improvisation
and adjustment to the United States. What would a newfound mobility bring
to Europe’s ability to innovate and its willingness to take risks ? Is
mobility perhaps the key to bridge the difference and distance between
old and new Europeans ? Is so, who should support such mobility and how
should such support be provided ?
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